A Six Percent Loss In Two Weeks!

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The mean investor, however, spends most of their resources analyzing business risk instead of shop and sector risk.
Market and Sector Review
October 24, 2005
The shop is down 6% in the last two-plus weeks. Six percent is a fairly usual shop pullback, in the big picture. However, it's a small unsettling looking that kind of move in just ten or eleven trading days (and one of those days the shop was Up 120 points).

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So, are we done with this pullback? Or is there more to come?

First, let's address if we are done with the pull back.
Let's look at the possible reasons we've had a drop lately:

o This past week was option expiration.

o The Fed's apparent decision to keep raising interest rates.

o Poor earnings announcements and lower forecasts of time to come earnings.

o News that inflation is significantly higher than the Fed expected.

This last item was news apparently only to the Federal Reserve. anyone who drives a car can tell us about inflation.

There have been some in the shop hopeful that the Fed would shortly announce an end to rate hikes. But whether right or wrong, the rate hikes don't appear to be ending soon.

Ok. So we have not actually answered if we are done with the pull back.
So...is there more to come?

My understanding is yes, the odds are significantly higher that more downside is still to come.

Having said that, I feel there is a good opening we will see a bounce from these levels. It may just be a small bounce, possibly a last opening opening to clear some non-performers out. But the trend, overall, is still pointing lower.

There seems no resolution to the problems facing the shop and the cheaper at the present time. More importantly, the technical tools I watch tell me that provide is firmly in control of the football and currently has shown no sign of letting go, either. That does Not mean that the shop will go level down, or crash. It doesn't even mean the shop will go down at all. It means that the Risk of losing money is significantly higher today than in the past. And since my job is to safe your primary in times when the shop is on defense, we need to practice ultimate caution right now, as we have done for the past four weeks. It would be very unusual for me to get you out of the shop at the top (or in at the ultimate bottom, either). The main objective, on defense, is to safe principal, so we have money to buy good assets when they go on sale.

Staying focused on primary preservation and your defensive game plan should be the customary objective at this stage of the game. To see where you stand, please call us at 877-223-7300 to set up a time to review. And feel free to check the Mullooly Asset management hotline as well, where I outline the early indications I use to decide when the shop may be starting to turn.

Mullooly Asset Management, Llc does not warrant the accuracy or completeness of this report, nor does Mullooly Asset Management, Llc assume any liability for any loss that may follow from reliance by any person upon any such data or opinions. Such data and opinions are branch to convert without consideration and are for general data only. Clubs mentioned in this description can be, and often are, owned by clients and employees of Mullooly Asset Management, Llc,. All comment is based on observing the aggregate of investors decisions of historical systematic accumulation or distribution. This does not warrant time to come continuation of such trends. Fluctuations in stock prices are not an immediate reflection of the capability of a company. Any expressed or implied hint contained within, are made without regard of investors objectives. Consult your advisor. data contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, any way the accuracy can not be guaranteed.

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