Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Paul Krugman - Your Intuition Doesn't Apply

Federal Reserve Interest Rates - Paul Krugman - Your Intuition Doesn't Apply.
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We had a good read. For the benefit of yourself. Be sure to read to the end. I want you to get good knowledge from Federal Reserve Interest Rates . Have you read the reviews on Krugman's new book yet? www.amazon.com Most economists have been calling for austerity measures, but Krugman says we desperately need another stimulus package. The stimulus has worked about in the way that could have been expected. It helped, but it was a pretty modest thing. 0 billion sounds like a lot, but it was spread over a period of two years. We need more spending. Everything points to the need for more spending. Things are actually going negative at this point. The economy clearly hasn't gotten over this crisis. The bond market is terrified of a deflation. We need another stimulus at least as big as the first one. We definitely shouldn't extend the tax cuts to wealthy people. They aren't going to spend any money. That is an ineffective stimulus. A payroll tax wouldn't be bad, but spending by the government would be the absolute best. Otherwise it is just a waste of money. Timing is a part of this, but it is much exaggerated. This isn't a one or two year recession. After a financial crisis, you can expect 5 to 10 years of a depressed economy. The point is that right now we have mass unemployment. If you paid people to dig ditches, it isn't like you are taking them away from more useful activities. Otherwise they would just be unemployed. It's not like the private sector allocates capital well. The government would do a much better job, so this isn't something that you should worry about. Spending money to get Americans to work isn't ...
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